Tony Campbell
Working For Maryland

Formally stated, Sir Issac Newton’s third law is: “For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.” The statement means that in every interaction, there is a pair of forces acting on the two interacting objects. The size of the forces on the first object equals the size of the force on the second object.

This is as true in psychology and politics, as it is in physics.

The action of toppling the status of Christopher Columbus yesterday in Little Italy is a reaction of the left to the election and probable re-election of President Donald Trump. It also happened due to the frustration of the left to remove President Trump from office since his election four years ago.

As I stated, in a previous post, there WILL BE an equal and opposite reaction to the rioting and the tearing down of statues – the reelection of President Trump.

When the dust settles, and the left tries to figures out why their candidate did not win, the answer will be apparent to anyone who has studied human behavior – President Trump will win because the left pushed too hard to erase the idea of what it means to be American.

To force the removal of history by violence (or the threat of violence), will cause a guttural push-back from the silent majority which will ensure a second term for Trump.

The practical issue is one of governance before and after the election.
It is very important Governor’s and State Legislative bodies take charge and effectively manage their cities. Cities do not have ANY Sovereignty. They are given authority by States to provide local services to people. I have never been a citizen of Baltimore County but I am a citizen of the State of Maryland. State Legislatures and Governors need to step up and show LEADERSHIP NOW!!

If this is not done, if the states do not enforce its Sovereignty, I am very afraid of what our country will look like after November 4, 2020. Without strong leadership, our communities can “act and react” to each other in a downward spiral which will cost the lives, liberties and property of every one of us.

I pray our elected officials become leaders before it is too late to save our Republic!

As a professor of and a lifelong student of politics, one of the perks of the field of study is to watch and observe elections in real time as they happen.  As a political scientist, opportunities present itself every four years to predict the outcome of a campaign by looking at a variety of metrics, this year is unique in its complexity but ironically offers more insight than most presidential election cycles.

If you choose to stop reading soon, let me skip ahead to the central point:  The Black Lives Matter Movement will cause the Defeat of Joe Biden.

Let me explain…

For the last thirty years, the Democratic Party has had four major demographic segments it has been able to gather into its voting coalition – Women, LGBTQ, Hispanic and African-Americans.  In 2017, the #MeToo movement was launched in the United States, partially as a response to the election of President Donald Trump.  While there have been some successes in rooting out male sexual harassers in the entertainment industry (Harvey Weinstein and Bill Cosby), the #MeToo movement has not been politically weaponized in 2020.  Perhaps the political silence of the #MeToo movement is because Joe Biden himself has a long documented history of inappropriate touching which can be considered sexual harassment.

The LGBTQ movement has made great advancements in freedom and legal protections through legislation at the state level and court cases as seen last week in the US Supreme Court.  The decisions of the Supreme Court as recently as last week have helped to de-weaponize sexual orientation from the 2020 election.

The undocumented people of Hispanic descent have also benefited from changes in state laws (2012 Dream Act in Maryland) as well as several US Supreme Court decisions including one last week keeping the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program to remain in place.  While there are serious questions which remain regarding the legal status of undocumented people in this country, the Supreme Court has helped to de-weaponize immigration from the 2020 election.

In my opinion, the only key demographic left for the Democratic Party to mobilize is African-Americans.  Unlike the other groups named above, African-Americans have not been the beneficiaries of a Supreme Court case since 2003 (Grutter v. Bollinger) and have not had a federal piece of legislation protecting their liberty and freedoms for over a decade since 2009.

Out of the four key demographics, African-Americans are clearly the most vulnerable, yet the Democratic Party has been a disinterested parent at best to their needs until the last month or so.  Did something change?  In 2015, Freddie Grey died in Baltimore in police custody.  In Baltimore, there were protests and rioting but the protests and riots did not spread across the country.  What makes one death in 2020 more important than in 2015?  In 2015, there was a hope of another Democrat winning the White House; in 2020, it is fear of President Trump winning re-election.

This brings us to Black Lives Matter and the Defeat of Joe Biden in November.

Winning the Oval means you must win 270 electoral votes by winning a combination of key states.  Winning the White House is all about state electoral strategy.  Looking at the map, Joe Biden has to win three of the five following states Trump won four years ago – Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. 

The Democratic Party is in a tough situation.  Since 1990, it has historically been an uninterested parental figure in the lives and livelihoods of African-Americas, yet it has to mobilize voters in key states to try to win in November.  The death of George Floyd has allowed an opportunity to motivate people to become active in speaking up about their grievances.  I have said multiple times I applaud and support peaceful protests.  Peaceful protesting of citizens should be supported by every Republican who says they love Liberty and Freedom.

The Presidency is won state by state and the problem the Biden campaign will have is how Black Lives Matter will be seen in Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.  Quite simply: the gains in activism by people of color will be offset by the increased number of white folks who will vote to reelect President Trump.

I am from western Pennsylvania and spent a lot of time in eastern Ohio.  Over the last month or so, I have spoken with a number of white friends who are experiencing what I would call “the 2020 crisis over-anxiety syndrome” (not a medical term, I just made it up).  These individuals are sick and tired of being sick and tired.  They are tired of the coronavirus, frustrated by not living life as usual, annoyed in being forced to wear a mask, exhausted over the impeachment and trial of a President, and fearfully prepared for the inevitable invasion of murder hornets.  For this political discussion, they are white folks who are tired of being blamed for centuries of racial problems of this country.

It is this resentment which will fuel the reelection of President Trump.  The resentment of being blamed for division and cruelty which they have never personally participated in.  Joe Biden with his history of racism from opposing school integration, to eulogizing Robert Byrd who was a leader of the KKK and helping to write the 1994 Crime Bill which led to mass incarceration of people of color which is still devastating urban cities across the country. Joe Biden has no choice but to make Black Lives Matter a major issue of his campaign and a key plank of the Democratic Party platform.  If they choose to ignore it, they will not have momentum in urban areas in the Fall.  If they choose to embrace it, they will alienate white voters in rural and suburban areas. 

Biden will have to talk about the disparity between people and the cause of it.  Trump will talk about making America great and reviving the economy.  The outcome will be a electoral victory for Trump which may outperform his electoral total in 2016.

In 2016, President Trump won 2,600 counties compared to 500 for Secretary Clinton.   If the election plays out like I see it, Biden will not even get that close.

God has placed this on my heart so I ask for understanding in my quest for answers.

Two years ago, two sisters (5 and 7 years old) were shot in Baltimore. The seven year old died. I went to the candle light vigil. I wish there were 12 days of peaceful protest over the destructive violence which cost the life of one beautiful Black child and a bullet in the back of her younger sister while she was playing with her baby doll.

I support peaceful protests. If protests continue today, it will be the 12th consecutive day of protests here in Baltimore. These protests have happened downtown, in Towson, in Pasadena, in Westminster, and In Bel Air. While the impact of the protests have traveled into the counties, I worry the message is being lost.

I think the message of the protest is “Freedom, not Fear.” The freedom to live our lives without fear of violent death at the hands of bad police officers. The freedom to be able to live our lives and run our businesses without fear of fines and possible arrest from arbitrary government action. The freedom to live our lives without fear and intimidation from anarchists, who instead of wanting to build up our communities, only want to destroy property.

Most importantly, the freedom to live our lives without being killed by each other.

There are thousands of people, most of them being Black Lives, who have been killed on Baltimore’s streets since 2015. All of those lives lost are tragic and I believe the leaders of our city and our state are partially responsible.

These protests are impactful, but they can be so much more than that, they can be transformative. Moving from fear and frustration to Freedom will be hard. We only will get there by thinking and acting on these issues together.

This is a question which is meant to get people thinking. I understand my comments may make some people upset. Being uncomfortable, and wrestling with that feeling, is a healthy first step to seeking answers.

I don’t have the answers either. I am hoping we can find them together.

“Where justice is denied, where poverty is enforced, where ignorance prevails, and where any one class is made to feel that society is an organized conspiracy to oppress, rob and degrade them, neither persons nor property will be safe.” – Frederick Douglass

It is with a sad and humble heart I send these thoughts out to anyone who may want to read it.  Our country stands at a crisis point on race relations which is long overdue.  My interest in our resolving this important issue comes from four perspectives – a child of God, a Black man, an American citizen and a Republican.

These perspectives are not exclusive from each other; in fact, they are connected together in an incredible tapestry which informs my worldview.

My Christian belief informs me that every Black Life Matters whether in the womb or in the streets of our communities.  I grieve for the lives of hundreds of people of color gunned down in cities across our country.  I cry for the babies who never see the light of day because of abortion clinics designed by the founder of Planned Parenthood who wanted to control the Black race by killing our unborn children.  I am angry and pissed off by actions of police officers who brutally kill people of color in our country.  To make it perfectly clear how I feel, George Floyd was murdered and the police officers responsible for his death should be put on trial.  If convicted, they should serve the maximum amount of time possible.

Out of the four identifiers I mention in the first paragraph, my identity as a Black man is the one aspect of myself which cannot change.  I can choose whether to be Christian, an American citizen or a Republican.  I hold a doctoral degree, own a nice home, a father of two fantastic children, teach at a university, currently serving as 2nd Vice Chairman of the Maryland Republican Party, and was the 2018 US Senate nominee of the Republican Party in Maryland.  While those things are accomplishments I am grateful for, my reality is as perilous as any other Black male in this country.  If I am pulled over by a cop, I do not know what is going to happen and it an unpleasant, scary feeling.

As an American citizen, we are told we are all equal under the law.  While that may be good in theory, the reality of what justice is varies on how much money you have, the lawyer you can afford or the jurisdiction you live in.  There is no such thing as equal under the law.  The philosopher Plato wrote “Justice is in the interest of the stronger party.”  Black people have been on the short end of power equation since the beginning of this Republic.  It will only get better when we honestly have discussions about the failure of our society to provide Justice to everyone in every situation.

I made a choice to be a Republican because I know the Republican Party holds a variety of stands on issues which are more helpful to Black people than the other party.  From issues of Life, to protections of free speech, to the protection of religious freedom, to school choice and educational empowerment, the Republican Party wants every Black Life to not only matter but to succeed.

Instead of being afraid of the fight, Republicans should be at the forefront of championing the rights of the people to protest against their government.  Championing the rights of people of color to give grievance against their government is not un-American; it is at the core of the definition of being American.

The great Frederick Douglass said the following:

“Where justice is denied, where poverty is enforced, where ignorance prevails, and where any one class is made to feel that society is an organized conspiracy to oppress, rob and degrade them, neither persons nor property will be safe.”

This is where we are as a country.  Since there is no clear implementation of justice, and there is hopelessness from Black people the deck is stacked against them, there is no peace to be had – lives and property are not safe.

I want to thank Governor Larry Hogan and Lt. Governor Boyd Rutherford for their statements on these critical issues.  As the last Black statewide Republican nominee for office, I am in full support of their statements and ask the following of my fellow Republicans:

I call upon my fellow Republicans to look at the world through different eyes.  I call upon my fellow Republicans to look for meaningful ways to share our compassion and our humanity.  I call upon Republican leaders across the state to put into action the ideas of Liberty, Freedom and Equality in policies and programs in their areas.  I call upon Republican leaders to publicly support and defend the Constitutional rights of the people to peacefully protest.  I call upon Republican leaders to denounce racial inequity in all of its forms by law or by practice.

If we do all of these things, we will be a political worthy of the loyalty of Frederick Douglass and will help lead to a more just society for everyone.

We can not be “Maryland Strong” without our houses of worship reopening. Regardless of your personal belief system, ALL houses of worship are incredibly important and will help us to regain a sense of community faster than opening up parks, recreational facilities or other businesses.

Here are a few common sense ideas on how we should open up our houses of worship in Maryland:

1) Having multiple services for parishioners

2) Having those services redesigned for smaller maximum number of parishioners (6’ foot between families)

3) Every parishioner wearing a mask inside the house of worship

4) If communion is part of the service, the house of worship must provide gloves and purchase individual communion servings

5) Continue to provide online worship alternatives for the elderly and possible medically compromised population

I would like to hear your ideas. What other common sense precautions would you add to this list so we can truly be “Maryland Strong” in our faiths and our actions?

Email me at campbell4maryland@gmail.com

Thank you for your participation!
TC

My New Years 2020 post concerned the book of Job and what we MUST do to be blessed in the New Year.

Yesterday, Baltimore surpassed the record for the number of murders in our city. Three hundred and forty seven people have lost their lives – sons, daughters, children, the elderly – no one has escaped this plague of violence.

The 11th chapter of Job which I posted earlier tells us we MUST put away the sin in our hand and in our tents. Our city will not get better unless the people choose to put down their hate for one another.

Instead of giving worthless press conferences, our leaders MUST inspire people to be better and use the resources of our government wisely and forcefully to restore order.

Baltimore, 2019 was your Job moment, it is up to all of us to choose to trust in God and be Blessed – our to continue to fight among ourselves and be CURSED.